22 Jul · 00:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobisek
ELO 1495
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Volf
MV
🇨🇿Matej Volf
ELO 1507
FormLLLLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sobisek🌟Volf rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (30)
Fair odds · Volf
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 40% · 2.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H6-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.