21 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1563
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chalupa
MC
🇨🇿Michal Chalupa
ELO 1566
FormLLLWW
50%
50%
🌟Chalupa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (90)
Fair odds · Chalupa
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H1-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.