22 Jul · 02:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇨🇿Vaclav Kosar
ELO 1453
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kosar
JP
🇨🇿Josef Pelikan
ELO 1334
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Kosar
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+119
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)