21 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1457
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Plachy
VH
🇨🇿Vladimir Havlicek
ELO 1440
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Plachy rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (87)
Fair odds · Plachy
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.