22 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LF
🇨🇿Lubos Forman
ELO 1344
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Forman
VK
🇨🇿Vladimir Kubat
ELO 1302
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
🌟Forman stays under total as favourite 69% (26)
Fair odds · Forman
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H8-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.