23 Jul · 00:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JD
🇨🇿Jiri Dedek
ELO 1560
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Dedek
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1541
FormWWLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Dedek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H50-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.