22 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PW
🇨🇿Pavel Wawrosz
ELO 1649
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Wawrosz
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1608
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Wawrosz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (139)
Fair odds · Wawrosz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H15-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.