22 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MR
🇨🇿Milan Regner
ELO 1395
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Regner
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1365
FormWLWWW
52%
48%
🌟Regner rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (57)
Fair odds · Regner
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H8-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.