22 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1365
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Madle
LM
🇨🇿Ludek Madle
ELO 1383
FormWLWWW
49%
51%
🌟Madle rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (68)
Fair odds · Madle
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H28-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.