22 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Simecek
ELO 1497
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Byrtus
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1553
FormLLWLL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Simecek🌟Byrtus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (64)
Fair odds · Byrtus
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H1-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.