22 Jul · 04:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AB
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1524
FormLLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hradecky
JH
🇨🇿Jakub Hradecky
ELO 1594
FormLWLLW
46%
54%
🌟Bayer covers set handicap as underdog 66% (162)
Fair odds · Hradecky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+70
H2H8-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.