22 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1522
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Darin
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1527
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Darin
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H68-87
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.