22 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Schwan
ELO 1538
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Schwan
AW
🇨🇿Adrian Walek
ELO 1517
FormLLWLW
51%
49%
🌟Walek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (54)
Fair odds · Schwan
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H9-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.