22 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Milan Klement
ELO 1643
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Klement
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vondrak
ELO 1598
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
🌟Vondrak covers set handicap as underdog 62% (53)
Fair odds · Klement
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H21-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.