22 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1553
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Byrtus
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Schwan
ELO 1538
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Schwan🌟Byrtus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (64)
Fair odds · Byrtus
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 30% · 3.34· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H1-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.