22 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1231
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Havrda
CH
🇨🇿Cesta Havrda
ELO 1304
FormWWLWL
46%
54%
🌟Havrda goes over total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Havrda
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+73
H2H30-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.