22 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1553
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Byrtus
AW
🇨🇿Adrian Walek
ELO 1517
FormLLWLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Walek🌟Byrtus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (64)
Fair odds · Byrtus
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H9-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.