22 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
CH
🇨🇿Cesta Havrda
ELO 1304
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Havrda
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1291
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
🌟Havrda goes over total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Havrda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H18-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.