22 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DH
🇨🇿David Heczko
ELO 1517
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Heczko
AW
🇨🇿Adrian Walek
ELO 1517
FormLLWLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Walek🌟Walek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (54)
Fair odds · Heczko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H10-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.