22 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RS
🇨🇿Richard Skacelik
ELO 1570
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skacelik
DM
🇨🇿Dalimil Machander
ELO 1548
FormLWLWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Machander🌟Skacelik goes over total as favourite 67% (48)
Fair odds · Skacelik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H24-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.