22 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VV
🇨🇿Viktor Vejvoda
ELO 1564
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vondrak
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vondrak
ELO 1598
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vejvoda🌟Vondrak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (56)
Fair odds · Vondrak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H9-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.