22 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1465
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Parhomenko
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1522
FormLLWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Parhomenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H40-48
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.