22 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LF
🇨🇿Lubos Forman
ELO 1344
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Forman
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1291
FormLWWLW
53%
47%
🌟Forman stays under total as favourite 69% (26)
Fair odds · Forman
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H5-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.