22 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1495
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Zurek
RA
🇨🇿Radim Adam
ELO 1488
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Adam🌟Adam covers set handicap as underdog 71% (24)
Fair odds · Zurek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 34% · 2.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.