23 Jul · 01:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JD
🇨🇿Jiri Dedek
ELO 1560
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Dedek
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1479
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Dedek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+81
H2H13-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.