22 Jul · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇨🇿Miroslav Tuma
ELO 1447
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Tuma
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1358
FormWLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Tuma rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (49)
Fair odds · Tuma
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+89
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)