23 Jul · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vavrecka
ELO 1611
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sedlacek
MS
🇨🇿Michael Sedlacek
ELO 1748
FormWWLWW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vavrecka🌟Sedlacek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (86)
Fair odds · Sedlacek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+137
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)