23 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Miroslav Kowolowski
ELO 1575
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kowolowski
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Varecha
ELO 1512
FormLWWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kowolowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H9-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.