23 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ZD
🇨🇿Zbynek Drabek
ELO 1452
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Drabek
LM
🇨🇿Lukas Malek
ELO 1436
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Drabek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.