23 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tobola
ELO 1511
FormWWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Varecha
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Varecha
ELO 1512
FormLWWLW
50%
50%
🌟Varecha stays under total as favourite 66% (32)
Fair odds · Varecha
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H1-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.