23 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RR
🇨🇿Radomir Revay
ELO 1656
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Revay
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Paril
ELO 1606
FormLLLLL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Paril🌟Paril covers set handicap as underdog 63% (138)
Fair odds · Revay
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H13-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.