23 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PW
🇨🇿Pavel Wawrosz
ELO 1662
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Wawrosz
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Paril
ELO 1606
FormLLLLL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Paril🌟Wawrosz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (140)
Fair odds · Wawrosz
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H16-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.