23 Jul · 16:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pleskot
ELO 1423
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Tacinec
MT
🇨🇿Martin Tacinec
ELO 1520
FormLWWWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pleskot🌟Pleskot covers set handicap as underdog 64% (91)
Fair odds · Tacinec
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+97
H2H20-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-13)