23 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kanera
ELO 1589
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kolisnyk
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1658
FormWWLWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kanera🌟Kanera covers set handicap as underdog 66% (38)
Fair odds · Kolisnyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+69
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.