23 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MF
🇨🇿Milan Fisera
ELO 1459
FormWLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Fisera
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Svedik
ELO 1393
FormWWLWL
53%
47%
🌟Fisera covers set handicap as favourite 63% (27)
Fair odds · Fisera
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+66
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.