23 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KS
🇨🇿Karel Schopf
ELO 1579
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Schopf
VC
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1543
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cermak🌟Cermak covers set handicap as underdog 70% (101)
Fair odds · Schopf
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.