23 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Milan Kolar
ELO 1598
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kolar
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1536
FormWWWLW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Darin
Fair odds · Kolar
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H7-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.