23 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FJ
🇨🇿Frantisek Just
ELO 1571
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Just
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1538
FormWWWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Just
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H11-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.