23 Jul · 14:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Michael Sedlacek
ELO 1748
FormWWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sedlacek
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1640
FormWWWLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Sedlacek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (86)
Fair odds · Sedlacek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+108
H2H67-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (67-35)