23 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JL
🇨🇿Jiri Louda
ELO 1610
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klement
MK
🇨🇿Milan Klement
ELO 1632
FormLWLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Klement
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H37-56
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.