23 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1658
FormWWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.002005
V2
🇨🇿Vaclav Nohejl 2005
ELO 1664
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · 2005
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.