23 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ML
🇨🇿Milan Langer
ELO 1504
FormLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Langer
ZP
🇨🇿Zbynek Pagac
ELO 1499
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Langer
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.