23 Jul · 22:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1501
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Taichman
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1489
FormLWLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Blejchar🌟Taichman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (84)
Fair odds · Taichman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H11-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.