23 Jul · 22:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Miroslav Barta
ELO 1405
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Novotny
MN
🇨🇿Miroslav Novotny
ELO 1426
FormWLLWW
49%
51%
🌟Novotny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (18)
Fair odds · Novotny
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.