23 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Miroslav Barta
ELO 1405
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Necas
MN
🇨🇿Miroslav Necas
ELO 1422
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
🌟Necas stays under total as favourite 93% (14)
Fair odds · Necas
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.