23 Jul · 21:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RK
🇨🇿Radim Kvasnicka
ELO 1464
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kvasnicka
JP
🇨🇿Jaroslav Peter
ELO 1364
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Kvasnicka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+100
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)