24 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JD
🇨🇿Jan Dzida
ELO 1721
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Dzida
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1634
FormLWLWL
55%
45%
🌟Polasek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (160)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+87
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)