24 Jul · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FJ
🇨🇿Filip Jungman
ELO 1500
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vedmoch
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1623
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
🌟Jungman stays under total as underdog 64% (22)
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+123
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)