24 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MJ
🇨🇿Martin Jaksa
ELO 1463
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jaksa
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Stach
ELO 1439
FormWLLWL
51%
49%
🌟Stach covers set handicap as underdog 63% (38)
Fair odds · Jaksa
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H1-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.