24 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Simecek
ELO 1499
FormLWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Simecek
DH
🇨🇿David Heczko
ELO 1494
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Heczko🌟Simecek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (69)
Fair odds · Simecek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H6-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.